Wide-body mix in 15 years of Boeing CMOs

A couple of days ago I wrote about the publishing by Boeing of its Current Market Outlook for 2013-2032. In that post I made a very brief review of it, and mentioned that I was puzzled by the change in the predicted mix of twin-aisle sales, between small and medium wide-bodies. To recall the numbers:

  • small wide-bodies: from 2,720 a/c in CMO2012 to 4,320 a/c in CMO2013, whereas,
  • medium wide-bodies: from 4,490 a/c in CMO2012 to 2,810 a/c in CMO2013.

Since I keep a collection of CMOs from years back, I decided to compare the figures of this wide-bodies mix along the last 15 years…

Twin-aisle mix distribution (Boeing CMO 1998-2013).

Twin-aisle mix distribution (Boeing CMO 1998-2013).

Seeing at the graphic (made using Boeing figures):

  • During the first 5 years (1998-2003) the trends are quite constant.,
  • From 2003 to 2007, the mix is reverted, possibly to favour the launch of the 787.
  • In 2008 the CMO did not provide the split.
  • From 2009 to 2013, you can see that both trends in the forecasts are erratic… why? Only Boeing knows.
Advertisements

9 Comments

Filed under Aerospace & Defence

9 responses to “Wide-body mix in 15 years of Boeing CMOs

  1. hardwaremister

    The reasons why they have changed that split towards bigger widebodies is to support these arguments:
    – Credibility of the 777X
    – Economics of the 787-10: Supporting their current public position that this airframe will be the future best selling product of the 787 family
    – Subtly infer that due to the 787-10, the average seat size will be increased for the widebodies (and that they will get this extra bite of the pie)

    Good day!

  2. Pingback: Mid-size, Twin-Aisle forecasts: the changing numbers; more Odds and Ends | Leeham News and Comment

  3. Pingback: Airbus vs. Boeing, comparison of market forecasts (2013) | The Blog by Javier

  4. Pingback: Is the average aircraft size decreasing or increasing by 25%? | The Blog by Javier

  5. Pingback: Review of Boeing Current Market Outlook 2014 | The Blog by Javier

  6. Pingback: Wide-body mix in 16 years of Boeing CMOs | The Blog by Javier

  7. Pingback: Review of Boeing Current Market Outlook 2015 | The Blog by Javier

  8. Pingback: Wide-body mix in 17 years of Boeing CMOs | The Blog by Javier

  9. Pingback: Review of Boeing Current Market Outlook 2016 | The Blog by Javier

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s